Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 226.903371 255.378623 286.903316 324.544384 368.462579 418.322723 479.548655
2025-02-16 180.344567 216.969400 261.040081 318.567834 392.553969 485.717401 613.856948
2025-02-23 154.470677 193.752459 243.584606 312.525491 407.177900 535.229759 726.307477
2025-03-02 140.881457 182.934062 238.699089 319.783675 437.659653 607.722939 881.306605
2025-03-09 128.131259 171.107673 230.197656 319.740770 456.363855 664.737216 1023.067154
2025-03-16 116.104504 158.675329 218.994572 313.639529 464.153021 705.110345 1144.883343
2025-03-23 107.989484 150.810468 213.224858 314.459921 482.025953 763.365128 1308.460962
2025-03-30 99.352388 141.273299 203.842888 308.225922 487.047377 800.027061 1439.592240
2025-04-06 93.037181 134.604833 198.084783 306.933281 499.842553 851.830720 1611.301345
2025-04-13 84.856353 124.380502 185.794568 293.329299 488.963918 857.721882 1688.521511
2025-04-20 82.564722 123.164220 187.744231 304.099635 523.560910 956.464968 1993.717725
2025-04-27 80.903831 122.777759 190.937863 317.281948 564.401641 1075.062630 2380.038658
2025-05-04 76.794135 118.187916 186.853186 317.164961 579.928083 1144.824617 2671.546089
2025-05-11 71.821624 111.825042 179.234169 309.706141 579.649911 1179.960524 2883.563431
2025-05-18 67.617909 106.461859 172.917279 304.030259 582.235805 1222.055380 3129.555908
2025-05-25 65.677412 104.837187 173.099954 311.028906 613.137518 1338.314558 3643.431626
2025-06-01 62.895046 101.540642 169.960991 310.989090 628.270416 1418.263298 4074.065161
2025-06-08 59.558534 97.045447 164.261043 305.092425 629.043746 1460.788375 4393.966895
2025-06-15 57.344371 94.423383 161.876046 305.885356 645.770501 1550.363730 4927.784888
2025-06-22 54.461392 90.411345 156.552226 299.859740 645.037073 1590.520835 5288.647541
2025-06-29 52.349059 87.695855 153.549187 298.610190 656.118314 1668.015795 5845.336634
2025-07-06 49.035815 82.572401 145.504859 285.457158 634.991252 1643.471429 5942.224391
2025-07-13 48.518361 82.668324 147.811442 295.870858 677.171333 1827.623190 7119.624969